Why we haven’t reached a recession yet and how that should inform your investment decisions


Many economists and market participants originally predicted a recession would have arrived by now. The thought was the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate increases would slow the economy down more than it has. While a slowdown is occurring, much of the economy is still on solid ground.

The consumer and the labor market have been surprisingly resilient through the interest rate increases. In short: there are not enough workers in the U.S., which is making the Fed’s mission to cool the…

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